How high for oil as world goes nuclear?

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Goldman has presented four possible scenarios for the oil market arising from the US attack on Iran’s nuclear facility:

Scenario One, we stay in the present scenario where we do not have a meaningful or any loss of supply…

I think in that situation we stay around these sort of levels because we are seeing some curtailment of ships wanting to go into the region…. So the fear of what could potentially happen is already having an impact, but it’s not having a meaningful impact, or any real impact on the actual physical supply…. I think in that scenario, we maintain a $5 to $7 premium and trade just north of $72 a barrel…. 

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.