The root cause of Australia’s productivity collapse

Advertisement

Over the past decade, the Australian economy has recorded some of the poorest productivity growth in the world and the nation’s poorest productivity growth on record.

Last week, I presented five reasons why Australia’s productivity growth has declined, namely:

  1. The mining boom of the 2000s and the associated surge in the Australian dollar contributed to the contraction of Australia’s manufacturing sector.
  2. Capital shallowing, driven by record immigration without a corresponding acceleration in infrastructure and business investment.
  3. Explosive growth in the non-market economy, facilitated by the expansion of the NDIS.
  4. Soaring energy costs, driven by gas policy failures and net-zero policies.
  5. Poor tax policies encouraging housing speculation over productive investment.
Advertisement

The lion’s share of my discussion focused on the problem of capital shallowing, which caused the growth in labour productivity and per capita GDP to fall as immigration/population growth rose.

Productivity and immigration

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.