Fearful Aussie consumers need sugar mummy

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Westpac with the note.


Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index up 2.2% to 92.1 in May.
• Index recovers about a third of April’s tariff-related fall.
• Solid rebound in views on finances led by sharemarket rally, lower fuel prices.
• Benign inflation shores up consumer expectations for interest rate cuts.

Consumer sentiment has recovered just over a third of last month’s tariff-related fall, buoyed by a rebound in financial markets and a clear-cut Federal election result. The 2.2% rise in the Index month-to-month understates the extent of the improvement. Recall that our April survey was in the field over the week that included the ‘reciprocal tariffs’ announced by US President Trump. Sentiment was markedly weaker amongst those surveyed after the announcement with an average index read of just 86.6. Against this benchmark, the May read of 90.1 is more like a 6% rebound. That said, the Index is still 3.9% below its March level and in ‘firmly pessimistic’ territory overall.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.