Buyers line up for Melbourne property

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Melbourne’s housing market has experienced the lowest value growth since the beginning of the pandemic.

Between March 2020 and April 2025, Melbourne dwelling values grew by 16.2%, versus 43.3% growth across the combined capital cities.

Melbourne vs capital city dwelling values

As a result, Melbourne’s median dwelling value ($781,000) is the second cheapest out of the five major capital cities, just ahead of Perth’s ($779,000).

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Median dwelling values

Melbourne’s relative affordability has generated increasing buyer interest. NAB’s Q1 2025 Property Survey revealed that 44% of respondents believe that Victoria is at the start of a recovery, whereas only 10% view Victoria as a declining market.

NAB Property Survey

Source: Q1 2025 NAB Property Survey

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Melbourne’s final auction clearance rate has also surged into the high 60s, which points to rising values.

Melbourne auction clearances versus prices

Melbourne was also the only capital city to post a preliminary auction clearance rate above 70% over the weekend.

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Melbourne’s preliminary rate of 73.8% was its second-highest of the year, with 935 auctions held across the city.

As illustrated in the following chart derived from Domain data, Melbourne home values are tracking at a cyclical low against the other capital cities.

Melbourne relative home values
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As a result, it has started to attract interest from bargain hunters and first home buyers alike.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.