Australia is trapped in a productivity death spiral

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Australia’s productivity growth has averaged just 0.2% a year over the last decade.

Labor’s first budget in 2022 included the assumption that productivity growth would average 1.2% over the long-term. The Coalition contends that annual GDP would be about $250 billion higher if productivity had grown at this pace, while annual tax revenue would have been $50 billion higher.

The Coalition has committed to a new productivity growth target of 1.5% annually if it wins the election on Saturday.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.