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Every opinion poll released in 2025 has shown the Albanese Labor government trailing Peter Dutton’s Coalition on both primary and two-party prefered vote.
In recent elections, Victoria has represented a stronghold for the federal Labor Party.
The 2022 federal election saw Labor win 24 out of 39 Victorian seats and 54.83% of the two-party preferred vote.
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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.