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The latest election polling from Roy Morgan research shows that the upcoming federal election is “too close to call” with the Coalition 51% (up 1.5% points from a week ago) narrowly ahead of the ALP 49% (down 1.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis.
This week’s result represented the second consecutive weekly swing to the Coalition, with the party now enjoying a small lead.
However, the large size of the cross-bench (currently 16 seats) means that either major party would require the support of minor parties and independents to form government.
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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.