Sieze gas cartel assets

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The local gas spot price spent one day below Albo’s calamitous $12Gj price floor before rebounding:

Prices have begun to fall for electricity. I expect a much higher off-season floor price than last year:

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Meanwhile, the gas cartel is the gift that keeps on giving:

Santos has revealed it could give the go-ahead for its $3.5bn Narrabri gas project in NSW as soon as next year, boosting hopes it could fill an expected supply gap later this decade, as pressure grows on regulators to green-light the major energy development.

The comments from chief executive Kevin Gallagher will add to growing urgency for Australian authorities to accelerate a decision on Narrabri, which continues to be held up by a Native Title Tribunal process.

The project could play a major role in easing Australia’s east coast gas shortfall, but it has attracted strong opposition and the federal government is wary of the political fallout.

Narrabri is a great example of how the east coast gas regime has failed.

  • It is environmentally questionable so needs tight regulation but won’t have it.
  • It is domestically reserved but won’t help prices because STO will simply shift other resources into the export market.
  • It should be developed but STO has dawdled for years as it keeps the market tight.
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The answer is new rules:

  • Use it or lose it legislation to put a deadline on resource development.
  • Blanket reservation.
  • The formation of a national gas titan operated on the cost+ model to benchmark cartel prices and reassure the public of environmental oversight.

But no, it’s all theft, crisis and chaos instead.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.