Perhaps the worst commodity analysis ever written

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I have criticised Bloomberg commodities analysis before. But today’s effort goes from bad to disastrous.

Stock-market routs like Wednesday’s highlight the importance of portfolio diversification. While not suitable for all investors, commodities are looking increasingly cheap and uncorrelated to the equity market. Unlike stocks — which experience their worst drawdowns in a recession — commodities rally through downturns. Further, buoyant excess liquidity should limit the extent of their current selloff and support higher prices.

Err, stocks rally through recessions as well. Commodities are a late-cycle, pro-cyclical asset class. They exaggerate equity booms and busts, not hedge them.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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