Australian dollar turns world’s whipping boy

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DXY was belted and EUR took off last night:

AUD was pounded anyway:

Even as North Asia catapulted higher:

Oil and gold are up:

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Metals smashed:

Miners look like retesting lows:

EM flamed out:

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Junk is fine:

Treasuries are bid:

Stocks are not:

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There are lots of cross-currents here:

  • Fed’s Williams and Waller suggested a September rate cut. DXY negative.
  • Trumponomics was established as high tariffs, low taxes. DXY positive. Goldman reckons it is 1% off EUR GDP:

Not to mention North Asia!

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  • Commodities were hosed on weakening growth, as well as Trumponomics.
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  • Joe Biden also looks increasingly likely to be replaced, adding more uncertainty.
  • The stock bubble is bursting a little on all of the above, as well as renewed China chip curbs.
  • AUD was smacked because it is high beta.

It looks like the pre-election calm is breaking down and AUD is doing its risk-adjusted thang.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.