Australian dollar rockets on Fed cut fuel

Advertisement

DXY is suddenly being hosed:

AUD has broken out its near two year wedge to the upside. Bullish!

Even North Asia gave chase:

Advertisement

Oil weak, gold strong:

Not as strong as red gold!

Miners meh:

Advertisement

EM on the launch pad:

Junk fueling the rocket:

As yields look cooked:

Advertisement

Stocks only go up:

Hooray for Goldilocks US jobs:

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 206,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in government, health care, social assistance, and construction.

…The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for April was revised down by 57,000, from +165,000 to +108,000, and the change for May was revised down by 54,000, from +272,000 to +218,000. With these revisions, employment in April and May combined is 111,000 lower than previously reported.

Advertisement

Unemployment only creeping higher:

Wages growth creeping lower:

What’s not to like?

Advertisement

With the June US CPI next week likely to show more progress, Fed cuts loom large. July is probably too early but September isn’t.

This sets us up for an H2 blowoff in markets before the US election might give meaning to the phrase “sell the first cut”.

AUD has bucked the risks and is headed higher for now.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
Advertisement