Melbourne turns house price donkey

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CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index results are out for May, with values rising by 0.9% over the month at the 5-city aggregate level:

CoreLogic May movements

It was the strongest monthly value growth recorded this year.

As shown above, Perth (2.1%), Brisbane (1.6%), and Adelaide (1.5%) continue to drive growth, with Sydney (0.7%) and Melbourne (0.3%) recording softer rises.

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The smaller capital city markets also drove the 2.1% increase in values over the May quarter at the 5-city aggregate level:

CoreLogic May quarter 2024

The divergence between those capital city markets is illustrated clearly in the next chart plotting value growth on a rolling 28-day basis:

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CoreLogic 29-day price change

So far in 2024, home values have risen by 3.1% on a 5-city aggregate basis.

The divergence between Perth and Melbourne is stark, with Perth values rocketing by 9.9% since the start of the year, while Melbourne values have remained dead flat:

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CoreLogic 2024 value changes

Since values bottomed on 29 January 2023 at the 5-city aggregate level, Perth values have shot up by 26.6%, almost double the 13.6% rise recorded across the major capital city markets.

By contrast, Melbourne home values have risen by a sedate 4.3% from the trough, which is roughly one-third the increase recorded at the 5-city aggregate level.

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CoreLogic rebound

Melbourne has become Australia’s house price donkey.

That’s good news for first home buyers, however. It means that Melbourne housing has become relatively less unaffordable to purchase.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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