Deposit gap scuttles home ownership dreams

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New research from Domain shows that the amount of money required for a 20% housing deposit has roughly doubled over the past ten years across Australia’s capital cities:

Deposit gap

A decade ago, the average deposit for a Sydney home was $158,000, but it has since increased to over $325,000.

In 2014, a Melbourne buyer would have needed a deposit of $119,000, but now they must find $206,000.

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Brisbane buyers now need to save $185,000 for a 20% deposit, up from $94,000 a decade ago.

Perth buyers face a jump from approximately $123,000 to more than $155,000.

The rise in deposits follows a recent PropTrack report showing that Australia’s median housing affordability is the worst in at least 30 years:

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Affordability for households

The fall in affordability is widespread, affecting both higher and lower-income earners.

PropTrack also revealed that a median household in Australia can only afford 13% of homes sold:

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Australian share of home sales

PropTrack’s data is consistent with the following chart from AMP chief economist Shane Oliver, which shows a record disparity between median property prices and borrowing capacity:

Australian capacity to pay
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This decreased borrowing capability reflects rising property values and skyrocketing mortgage interest rates.

Housing debt servicing costs

Younger Australians have seen a considerable fall in homeownership rates in recent decades, as shown below:

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Home ownership rate

With the current housing and immigration settings, I don’t see how things will change.

Housing supply and demand
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Australians may still yearn for home ownership. But for many, it will remain just a dream.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.