Chinese urbanisation collapses

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I made the point last week in responding to local propagandists that Chinese urbanisation was on the verge of collapse:

This is a simple case of demographic arithmetic, but the local’s livelihood prevents them from seeing the oncoming truck, so here are a few more charts from Dragonomics that make the same point.

The recent trend is not their friend. It is worse than my chart:

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And the long-term trend break says it all:

These are much worse numbers than my own. Anybody making a business case based on the endless shift of warm bodies from city to country in China is in complete denial.

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That is Australia.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.