Australian dollar takes bite of rotten Apple

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DXY was flat last night:

AUD fell:

North Asia offered little:

Oil waltzed lower through OPEC:

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Dirt meh:

Big miners are headed for big retest:

EM meh:

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Junk still OK:

US yields were thumped:

Stocks got whacked:

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I do wonder if the following chart is not about to revert to mean:

Sometime early this century, China began to influence DM bond yields lower. The recent COVID/Ukraine inflation shocks broke the influence.

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But Chinese yields are sinking relentlessly as its broken economy slides inexorably into deflation. I do not think that temporary supply shocks are enough to prevent the return of Chinese influence on DM yields.

To wit:

Apple Inc.’s iPhone sales in China fell by a surprising 24% over the first six weeks of this year, according to independent research that may stoke fears about worsening demand for the marquee but aging device.

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Falling yields and stocks are a rarity these days.

We may finally be about to get some cleanout of risk positioning.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.