Aussie house prices take a breather

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CoreLogic and PropTrack have released their house price results for January with modest rises (CoreLogic) and flat results (PropTrack) recorded respectively.

CoreLogic’s dwelling values index rose by 0.4% nationally in January, with mixed results recorded across the capital cities:

CoreLogic summary

Source: CoreLogic

Dwelling value growth decelerated sharply over the past quarter across Sydney and Melbourne:

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Capital cities

Source: CoreLogic

This dragged capital city growth below the regions:

Capital cities vs regions

Source: CoreLogic

The next table shows the change in values since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020:

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Changes since pandemic

Source: CoreLogic

As you can see, hyper growth has been recorded across most markets, with Melbourne the exception.

PropTrack recorded flat growth in dwelling values in January, with “relatively unchanged since November”:

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PropTrack home value index

Source: PropTrack

Annual price growth is also rolling over:

PropTrack annual price growth

Source: PropTrack

I am tipping minimal price growth until the RBA commences its easing cycle later in the year.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.