Stocks bull market into US election

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JPMs Marko Kolanovic is still bearish stocks.


Equities and bonds rallied into year-end, leaving markets appearing overbought and sentiment in complacent territory, e.g., illustrated by high RSIs, elevated Bull-Bear, VIX near lows, tight credit spreads and rich valuations.

As a result, we’ve seen a partial reversal of the year-end rally since the start of the year, amid somewhat stronger data flow and a resurgence of geopolitical risks.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.