Autralian dollar warns on global melt-up

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DXY eased last night:

AUD is wearing lead boots:

Even as North Asia popped:

Oil is becoming a problem as it chases overheated stocks:

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Dirt popped on more China easing:

And miners:

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EM indexes are stuffed:

But under the bonnet India rising, China falling:

Junk spreads have departed the rally. Major warning sign here:

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As yields blast higher with oil:

And stocks only go up:

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It was PMI night, and the US was strong as the wealth effect kicked along services consumption:

While the European downturn is slowing:

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Once again, stocks are going to over-egg this party until oil drives yields higher and the whole punch bowl is upended.

AUD will struggle in this environment as DXY predominates.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.