Australian dollar rally meets the Widowmaker

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DXY is moot:

AUD stopped falling:

CNY did not:

Brent is dancing along the cliff:

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Dirt yawn:

Mining smash:

EM doom:

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Junk hope:

Yield firm:

Stocks party:

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The AUD rally has a new challenge, and it is significant.

Called the Widowmaker, it is the thesis that Japan is about to exit deflation and the central bank tighten.

As noted here many times, good luck with that. New wage and inflation data are suggesting no such thing:

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When the Widowmaker comes to town, JPY is nowhere to be long, meaning CNY downside pressure will intensify.

Both will slay the AUD:

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If the Widowmaker lives, AUD dies.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.