Aussie PMI recession continues

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Soft data remains weak.


Flash Australia Composite PMI Output Index: 48.1 (Dec: 46.9), 4-month high
Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index: 47.9 (Dec: 47.1), 3-month high
Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI Output Index: 49.2 (Dec: 45.5), 5-month high
Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI: 50.3 (Dec: 47.6), 11-month high

Australia’s private sector activity continued to decline at the start of 2024. That said, the pace of reduction eased alongside a slower fall in new business. This was amidst improvements in business sentiment while employment levels also continued to rise. Selling price inflation notably eased to a 34-month low in January.

Incoming new business continued to fall at the start of the year, but the pace of contraction moderated to the slowest since new orders began decreasing last October. Softer new business declines in both the manufacturing and service sectors underpinned the latest change. A similar picture was seen for foreign demand, as new export business fell only slightly in January.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.