Australian renters under “exceptional pressure”

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PropTrack has released rental vacancy data for November, which recorded a moderate increase in the national vacancy rate to 1.07%, with the combined capital city rate rising to 1.10% and the combined regional vacancy rate falling to 0.98%:

PropTrack rental vacancy rate

PropTrack’s vacancy rate broadly aligns with CoreLogic’s, which recorded a combined capital city rate of 1.0% and regional vacancy rate of 1.2%

CoreLogic rental vacancy rate

Source: CoreLogic

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Commenting on the results, PropTrack noted that “rental market conditions remain extremely tight”, “placing exceptional pressure on renters”.

“Despite the easing, vacancy rates have trended down for over three years following strong rental demand and a slowdown in new construction”.

“Conditions will remain tough for those looking to rent in the new year period amid strong demand”, PropTrack added.

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CoreLogic data shows that the number of homes for rent across the combined capital cities is tracking around half 2020 levels:

CoreLogic rental listings

Source: CoreLogic

Whereas data released last month by Ben Phillips at the ANU showed that the number of adults per Australian dwelling has risen back to pre-pandemic levels:

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Adults per dwelling

Therefore, Australians have responded to the shortage of accommodation and the surge in rents by shifting into share housing – a view backed up by Flatmates.com.au.

So long as Australia’s population growth (read immigration) continues to run well ahead of dwelling construction, Australia’s housing shortage will continue to worsen:

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Housing supply versus demand

In turn, thousands more Australians will be pushed deep into rental stress, forced to live in group housing, or will become homeless.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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