Albo: We’ve worked hard to raise unemployment and there’s more to come

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First Treasurer Jim Chalmers misled the Australian public by claiming that the average full-time worker was $3,700 better off in the first year of the Albanese government:

Lying Chalmers on wages

However, ABC Fact Check labelled Chalmers’ claim “misleading”, pointing out that his claim does not take inflation into account, which outstripped the growth in earnings by six percentage points over the year to 30 June as measured by the consumer price index (CPI).

Lying chalmers
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In reality, average full-time wages fell in real terms by $2,012.92 over Labor’s first year in office:

Change in average earnings

Source: ABS Fact Check

Moreover, if average earnings are adjusted to the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) selected cost of living indexes (SCLIs), which are designed to measure inflation in a more targeted way, then purchasing power of total wages went backward by $5,470.40 a year, according to Fact Check:

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Real average earnings

Source: ABS Fact Check

“Earnings have gone backwards, it’s as simple as that”, David Hayward, an emeritus professor of public policy at RMIT University, told Fact Check.

The below chart tells the tale. Australian real wages have plummeted to March 2009 levels after falling 7.5% since June 2020:

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Australian real wages

On Monday, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese boasted that Labor has created 560,000 jobs since it was elected in May 2022:

Anthony Albanese Tweet
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Of course, Albo didn’t bother to mention that Australia’s population aged 15-plus has expanded by 770,000 since May 2022, thanks to unprecedented levels of net overseas migration:

Civilian population

Heck, Australia has already caught up to the pre-Covid population growth trend.

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Thus, Albo’s Labor has basically ‘created’ 560,000 jobs for migrants – and not enough to keep the labour underutilisation rate steady:

Labour market slack

Meanwhile, the lack of housing to support Albo’s extreme immigration has pushed the rental vacancy rate to record lows, which has pushed rents into the stratosphere and forced Australians to live group housing or on the streets:

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Rental vacancy rate

Source: CoreLogic

He’s a great guy, Albo. Always looking out for the working class by making them compete harder for jobs and housing with hordes of imports.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.