Israel and oil

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Goldman with the note.


Our thoughts are with those affected by the recent shocking attacks in Israel.

Recognizing the elevated uncertainty and incomplete information at this early stage, we note that there has been no impact to current global oil production, and that we see as unlikely any immediate large effect on the near-term supply-demand balance and near-term oil inventories, which tend to be the main fundamental driver of oil prices. We thus continue to forecast that the Brent oil price rises from $85/bbl as of Friday to $100/bbl by June 2024.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.