Housing hunger games showers Australians with fake wealth

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CommSec posted the below chart on Twitter showing how Australian per capita wealth has rebounded toward last year’s peak:

The average Australian was worth $567,632 in June 2023, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

The rebound in household wealth has obviously been driven by the similar rebound in home values.

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As shown in the next chart from CoreLogic, the total value of Australia’s housing stock climbed back to its peak of $10 trillion dollars in August:

Total value of housing stock

Moreover, housing now accounts for 56.3% of Australians’ household wealth, according to CoreLogic:

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Housing wealth

The above data helps explain why Australians are frequently listed among the world’s wealthiest people.

Although I would argue that having one of the most expensive housing markets in the world is a curse rather than a blessing.

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Expensive housing punishes individuals who have recently or are about to enter the property market. They are either condemned to a life of debt slavery repaying mega-mortgages, or they are excluded entirely, forced to rent for life.

Would Australia be worse off if the median home price was $365,000 rather than $735,000, mortgage debt was 70% of disposable income rather than 140%, and the banking sector was smaller and less profitable?

The answer is emphatically no. Cheaper debt loads would assist Australian households, while the broader economy would gain from the productivity-boosting benefits of cheaper land costs, higher business lending (investment), and an overall more balanced economy.

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We all need a place to live. And by creating the housing Hunger Games, we have deprived our young of a housing future.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.