Finally, there was a better Voice poll:
More Australians intend to vote no than yes in the voice referendum on 14 October, according to the latest Guardian Essential poll.
But the new poll has recorded the first positive shift towards yes in several months, as the historic referendum campaign enters the decisive stretch.
The latest snapshot of voter opinion suggests 49% of respondents intend to vote no (down two points in a fortnight), 43% will vote yes (up two points), with 8% unsure. These movements are inside the Guardian Essential poll’s margin of error, which is plus or minus three points.
But:
“It’s become an inner urban thing. You go into the inner suburbs and there’s lots of support for the Voice. That’s in areas where the politics of identity are popular,’’ he said.
But Mr Samaras suggested the further you drove outside of the inner suburbs the less engaged voters were with the referendum.
“No one’s interested. They are not animated by it,’’ he said.
And:
The big winner is the LNP, if they play it right, like Dan Tehan is:
Shadow Immigration Minister Dan Tehan has said that the Labor government is too distracted with the voice to parliament campaign and “it isn’t doing anything to help or support the cost of living crisis.”
“They’ve been so distracted with the voice, they haven’t been doing their day job,” he told Sky News. “The government needs to look at what it can do to help and support the RBA deal with inflation. It’s got to look at its spending, and it’s got to get that under control.
“What you need is proper, targeted spending,” he said, pointing out the 10,000 additional public service workers the Labor government has introduced in their latest budget.
“Anthony Albanese has got this wrong,” he said. “And so the best thing we can do is say to the government … we need to go back to the drawing board, and take a better approach. And I think that’s what’s gonna occur over the next two weeks.”
This is the line that can reverberate throughout the next 18 months. Distracted by its “woke” concerns of Voice and opening the borders to everybody, the Albanese government crashed living standards:
If it is accompanied by a plan for a big cut in immigration, the line has four strengths to it for the LNP:
- It is true.
- It will enrage the fake left and trigger paroxysms of accusations alienating everybody.
- It plays directly into LNP mythos of “good economic management” versus Labor “can’t manage money”.
- It plays directly into LNP mythos of “strong on borders” versus Labor as weak.
The LNP can win the next election with this platform.
