Aussie energy price relief ends

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The rising Asian gas price:

Has finally dragged up the local gas spot price:

With gas at around $10Gj, electricity prices will rebound by 50% quickly. The AEMO’s lagged quarterly power price benchmark still has further to fall, so bill relief should still come:

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But it looks like we’ve bottomed out. Futures remain much higher as well:

At least gas inventories are higher now, so there is some buffer to prevent price spikes. Stupidly, Albo did not apply the $12Gj gas price cap to the spot market, even though it sets the marginal price of electricity.

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So, the gas export cartel could renew its gouge at any moment.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.