New Roy Morgan polling shows that both primary and two-party preferred support for the Labor Albanese Government has fallen below the Dutton-led Coalition for the first time.
The Dutton Coalition would now win a Federal Election as ALP two-party preferred support plunged 4.5% to 49.5% and is now trailing the Coalition on 50.5% (up 4.5%) after all six States voted against the proposed ‘Voice to Parliament’ at the nation-wide referendum on Saturday 14 October.
The Roy Morgan Poll shows the Coalition leading the Albanese Government on a two-party preferred basis for the first time since the Federal Election last year.
The ALP’s primary support fell 3% to 32%, while the Coalition’s support rose 2% to 36%.
Almost one-third of voters (32%), picked another party, including the Greens (14%), One Nation (4.5%), Independents (8.5%), and Other Parties (5%).
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Index fell 4.5 points to 78, far below the neutral level of 100.
Now, a majority of 53.5% of voters believe the country is “heading in the wrong direction”, while fewer than a third, 31.5%, believe it is “heading in the right direction”.
These findings are based on a Roy Morgan survey of 1,383 Australian electors conducted in the week following the referendum, from Monday 16 October to Sunday 22 October.
Roy Morgan’s result comes as a separate polling by JWS Research shows that Australians are deeply concerned about the cost of living, access to vital public services, housing affordability, and the economy and finances:

The fact of the matter is that the Albanese Government is making each issue worse with its extreme immigration policy, which is:
- Creating a rental crisis that is forcing financial hardship on tenants, forcing Australians into share housing, and pushing many into homelessness.
- Driving inflation higher as population demand overruns the supply-side of the economy, most visibly via the housing market. This will inevitably keep interest rates higher for longer, negatively impacting households with mortgages.
- The record labour supply growth will drive up unemployment and put downward pressure on wages, harming workers.
- The record flood of people is overcrowding vital public services and infrastructure.
I discussed these issues in detail in last week’s Treasury of Common Sense on Radio 2GB:
The Albanese Government needs to stop virtue signalling and gaslighting and address the real issues impacting Australians.
Otherwise, it risks being a one-term government.