Australia hit by new inflation shock

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Falling petrol prices put downward pressure on Australia’s inflation in the year to June 2023.

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) June quarter CPI inflation report:

“Automotive fuel prices fell 0.7% for the quarter”.

“Compared to the June 2022 quarter, unleaded petrol prices are 3.2% lower and diesel prices are 10.1% lower”:

Australian fuel prices

The situation has reversed over the past month, with petrol prices in Australia surging above $2 a litre, as shown below by CommSec:

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Australian petrol prices

In turn, CommSec warns that petrol has swung from being deflationary to inflationary for Q3 CPI:

Petrol prices and inflation
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According to CommSec on Twitter:

“Petrol prices are lifting at a near 20% annual price after falling at a 21% annual price in early July. This makes it harder to get inflation into the 2-3% target band”.

The surge in petrol prices could also have second round inflation impacts as rising fuel costs are passed on to consumers via higher goods and services prices.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.