Australian dollar relief as greenback pukes

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DXY finally took a breather last night:

AUD bounced:

Dirt is happy:

Miners and EMs too:

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The Treasury curve is turning from stupid bear steepener to smarter bull steepener:

As the robots go hogwild for stocks again:

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It was all driven by US JOLTS which hosed off the Fed:

Yawn. This has been obviously coming for a while.

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I do not think that the falling DXY rally will last long. The underlying reality has not changed. US growth is still much better than Europe and China.

Chinese prospects are getting worse, not better, as unstimulus lets the property crash completely get out of control. CNY has not bounced at all:

And Europe is headed into deep recession with a bullet:

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Precisely how an additional external shock coming from a stalling US labour market will help either is not apparent to me.

All AUD rallies are for fading.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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