“Sell the last Fed hike”
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BofA sums up the village idiot market.
The cognitive error investors are making is assuming markets are collective discounting mechanisms that are rationally governed by fundamentals, while in reality, price action is determined by psychology, reflexive feedback loops and positioning.
Equities in particular have been continually taught in recent decades that central banks will come to the rescue, that risk is not real, that buying dips is a source of alpha, and that the biggest pain trade is to be underweight the market.
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About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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