Death of US dollar reserve greatly exaggerated

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Wells Fargo with the analysis. I agree. Forex is a beauty pageant and everybody else is even uglier than USD.


Summary

Over the last few weeks, headlines around the U.S. dollar losing its global reserve currency status have become widespread and captured attention. In our view, the U.S. dollar is not on the brink of losing global reserve currency status at any point in the foreseeable future. The dollar meets all the characteristics of a reserve currency, and is still the dominant currency in the global payments’ marketplace as well as the currency of choice for FX reserve managers. While the FX reserve allocation to the dollar has declined over time, we believe this trend is a product of one-off developments and not necessarily a movement to shun the greenback. Going forward, we believe the dollar will maintain its status as the global reserve currency as EU fragmentation risks will prevent the euro from gathering momentum, a distorted Japanese Government Bond market counters the yen, and convertibility challenges limits the rise of the renminbi for the time being.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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