US consumer baulks at bank shock

Advertisement

This kind of data needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Still, it is noteworthy. Citi with the note.


Citi’s CC data for the 16 sub-sectors we track show that total spending in March wk 3 (ended 3/18/23) decreased 10.3%, a big deceleration vs March wk 2 (-6.8%), and driven by a HSD decline in transactions. Ex-Food spendingdecreased 13.0% vs -8.1% in March wk 2. This was the first week of data following the disruption within the financial sector, and we were curious if it might have had an impact on the consumer. It sure did. March wk 3 was the biggest decline in total retail spending we have seen since the pandemic began (April 2020). March is off to a much slower pace than Feb (-8.3% MTD vs Feb -6.0%). We saw broad based deceleration across sectors with only one sector (Jewelry) accelerating.

Citi’s Proprietary CC Data for 16-subsectors: Citi is the world’s largest credit card issuer, and our Retail Research Team in conjunction w/Citi’s Research Innovation Lab colleagues, look at high level credit card data at a sub-sector level, which we believe is helpful in assessing overall spending trends to help build an investment mosaic.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.