No RBA red flag in Aussie retail sales

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The ABS today released retail sales data for February, with sales coming in bang on expectations at 0.2% month-on-month:

Monthly retail sales

The below table from Alex Joiner at IFM Investors shows the breakdown between sub-categories:

Retail sales breakdown
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Joiner believes there are clear signs of a retail slowdown, but not a red flag for the RBA to change course next week.

Specifically, the RBA noted in the minutes last week that retail was something they would look at before next week’s meeting:

RBA statement
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Tomorrow’s Monthly Consumer Price Index indicator release will be most important, however.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.