Albo’s rental disaster sweeps East Coast Australia

Advertisement

CoreLogic has released its February unit review, which reports that the “pace of monthly rental growth continues to accelerate across Australia’s unit market, from a 1.0% increase in January to a 1.2% rise in February”.

This “continued surge in unit rents saw the national trend record its highest annual growth on record (13.7%), overtaking the month prior for the eighth month in a row”, according to CoreLogic:

Rolling annual unit rents

Source: CoreLogic

The record rental growth is in response to the vacancy rate plunging to only 0.80% across the combined capital cities, down from around 5% two years earlier:

Advertisement
Unit rental vacancy rates

Source: CoreLogic

CoreLogic notes that “among the capitals, Sydney and Melbourne recorded the strongest unit rental growth over the month, rising 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively, with overseas migration fueling rental demand for inner-city apartments”.

CoreLogic also believes rental growth will remain strong because “we’ll unlikely see much in the way of a supply increase over the short term”.

Advertisement

Separate asking rents data from SQM Research, released last week, showed extraordinary growth of 21.4% across the combined capital cities, led by extreme growth across Sydney (+25.2%), Melbourne (+21.9%) and Brisbane (+20.8%):

SQM asking rents

Source: SQM Research

Obviously, the strong rental increases are being driven by record high population growth of nearly 500,000 people in 2022, driven by record high immigration of nearly 400,000:

Advertisement
Australian population growth

Monthly visa data to February shows net temporary arrivals continue to surge on the back of international students:

Net visa arrivals
Advertisement

This suggests the rental market will get worse before it gets better under the Albanese Government’s extreme immigration policy.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.