And now for a soft landing

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This risk case is well and truly on my radar. I still see it as a risk case because so much central bank tightening is yet to impact, asset prices are falling, margins will be squeezed and costs are already rebounding via commodities. But, as said repeatedly, the further equity and credit rallies, the more this chance rises.

The excellent Charlie McElligott at Nomura. 


Kind of a “cheat” note ahead of a busy week of meetings and dinners—reiterating / re-pasting parts of last week’s key thematics, but also with some fresh inputs…

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.