Inflationary expectations dip on lower petrol prices

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The ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer weekly consumer confidence survey has been released, with the index falling 0.5% to 82.7. This followed 5.6% of gains over three consecutive weeks:

Consumer confidence

Below are the key changes driving the result:

  • Consumer confidence fell slightly by 0.5% after three consecutive weeks of gains. Among the mainland states, confidence increased in NSW and SA, while it declined in Victoria, Queensland and WA.
  • ‘Weekly inflation expectations’ dropped 0.4ppt to 5.8%, while its four-week moving average fell 0.3ppt to 6.2%.
  • The subindex results were mixed. ‘Current financial conditions’ plunged 6.2%, after a 9% jump the week before. ‘Future financial conditions’ dropped 1.9%, partly offsetting the 2.8% gain from the previous week.
  • ‘Current economic conditions’ rebounded 4.9%, after a 2.8% fall over the previous two weeks. ‘Future economic conditions’ declined 2.9%, after three straight weeks of gains.
  • ‘Time to buy a major household item’ jumped 5.2%.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.