Australian renters face bleak 2023

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CoreLogic has released data on Australia’s rental market, which shows a national disaster in the making.

Annual rental growth reaccelerated to 10.2% in November, led by the five major capital cities:

Annual rental growth

This rental hyperinflation follows a sharp reduction in vacancy rates, which more than halved over the 12 months to November, from 2.1% nationally to just 1.0%:

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Rental snapshot

As shown above, the capital cities have experienced the biggest reduction in vacancy rates, plunging from 2.4% a year earlier to 1.0%.

This decline in rental vacancies has been caused by a sharp drop in rental listings, which fell 29.2% across the combined capital cities, with Melbourne (-35.1%), Sydney (-29.0%) and Brisbane (-26.8%) experiencing the biggest annual falls:

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Change in rental listings

The rental situation is likely to worsen next year given net international student arrivals have already rebounded to record levels, suggesting that Australia’s net overseas migration will hit all-time high levels in 2023:

Net student visa arrivals
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The Albanese Government has also committed to eliminating the so-called “one million visa backlog” as quickly as possible.

Where will these migrants live when there is already a dire shortage of rental accommodation?

The inevitable result of Labor’s extreme mass immigration policy will be even more severe rental shortages, skyrocketing rents, and rising homelessness.

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Australia’s rental market is a national disaster in the making.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.