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The latest polling from Roy Morgan Research suggests the Andrews Victorian Government will win a third term on Saturday, but with a reduced majority.
The ALP on 55% (down 2% points since early November) has an election-winning lead over the L-NP Coalition on 45% (up 2% points), on a two-party preferred basis:
The polling suggests a swing of 2.3% points away from the ALP since the 2018 Victorian Election.
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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.