Chinese zero-COVID evolving not ending

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Sinocism with the note.


The NHC’s reiteration of dynamic Zero-Covid yesterday was not surprising, but they are also not the ones who would announce a fundamental change in the policy, so while I remain skeptical of the rumors earlier this week the NHC reiteration does not mean they were wrong. Some local governments are saying they will place more emphasis on precise epidemic prevention and end indiscriminate and endless control and restrictions. That is not a sign of a change from dynamic zero-Covid but a sign of calibration to try to end some of the strangulation of economic activity. It sounds positive in principle, unless/until cases start surging and then local governments will likely go back to broader controls. The political incentives for local officials are still skewed to preventing an outbreak in their jurisdiction at all costs.

多地强调精准防疫:不能无差别无休止地管控和限制|传染病|疾控_网易订阅

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.