Chinese reopening painful and slow

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Credit Suisse with the note.


On Saturday, China’s National Health Commission (NHC) dispelled recent speculation that Covid restrictions would be eased. NHC officials stated that China will “unswervingly” adhere to its current zero-Covid policies as it faces a possible seasonal surge in cases.

The yuan and Chinese equities corrected lower on Monday, but did not fully reverse Friday’s strong rally (Figure 3). The market consensus now seems to agree with our view that the central government is unlikely to officially “pivot” from zero-Covid, given President Xi stated his commitment to the policy at the October Communist Party Congress.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.