Australian dollar free falls with all-time low yield spreads

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DXY was firm last night as we await the Fed:

AUD was whacked again:

CNY is all over the place as rumourtage overtook zero-COVID:

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Oil and gold yawn:

Base metals pretended to care:

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Miner dead cat bounced:

And EM stocks:

Junky is funky:

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Yields are signaling more hawkish Fed as the curve is pancaked:

Stocks read the room for once:

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Yield spreads between the US and Australia are in free fall as the RBA turns cautious and the Fed plows on. Short-end rates, which are supposed to be more important to FX hot money flows, have never been this negative, not even when the AUD was sub-50 cents:

Offsetting that some is the much steeper yield curve in AUD, implying better growth:

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However, I can’t see that lasting as the global economy falls apart in 2023 and takes commodities down with it.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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