Aussie house prices tumble 1.1% in November

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CoreLogic has released its daily dwelling values index for 30 November, with home values falling 1.1% over the month across the five major capital cities.

This represented the seventh consecutive monthly decline in dwelling values at the 5-city aggregate level:

Monthly dwelling price change

Over the month of November, home values fell sharpest across Brisbane (-1.8%) and Sydney (-1.3%), whereas values across Perth were flat (0%):

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Home value changes by capital city

Over the November quarter, home values were down 3.5% at the 5-city aggregate level, driven by the ‘big three’ capitals of Brisbane (-5.3%), Sydney (-4.4%) and Melbourne (-2.7%). By contrast, values in Adelaide (-0.8%) and Perth (-0.5%) continue to hold up:

Quarterly house price change
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Dwelling values have now declined 7.6% from their April peak at the 5-city aggregate level, with Sydney (-11.4%), Brisbane (-7.9%) and Melbourne (-7.1%) leading the falls and Adelaide (-0.9%) and Perth (-0.7%) down only slightly:

House price decline from peak

With the Reserve Bank of Australia tipped to lift interest rates further next week and early next year, Australian home values will continue to fall.

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The only ‘upside’ is that the pace of decline has moderated, as illustrated in the first chart above.

Later today or tomorrow, CoreLogic will release its full results capturing the smaller capital cities and regions.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.