Weak Australian dollar ignores mad markets

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DXY was smashed last night by the RBA!

AUD was weak anyway:

How long before oil snuffs the rally?

And metals:

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Big miners dead cat:

EM gapped into the ceiling:

Junk too:

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Ominously, yields rose:

Stocks snapped back:

The RBA has rarely had such an impact on global markets. But they were a coiled spring and it triggered the mechanism.

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For me, this is still not the end of the selling in either AUD or broader markets. The Fed inflation nowcast is had actually been climbing for the past two months and needs more economic weakness to knocked down further from its monthly 40bps range:

The fall in US job openings last night is helpful but not decisive. The Fed will want to see them back in the 6-7k range:

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The Fed still hikes until something breaks.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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