Australian dollar flushed away
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DXY to the moon:

AUD flushed to the lows:

Oil is up with the OPEC cut:

Metals down:
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Miners too:

EM stocks were soft:

Junk rolled:
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Yields piled higher:

Stocks sank:

It’s US jobs tonight, which is always pretty random., but there are signs of strength in the US economy. GDPNow has bounced bigly:
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Driven largely by services:
Which should support the BLS:
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However, employment reports everywhere are a random walk for trading purposes so there’s no guarantee.
That said, economic strength is consistent with sticky inflation. The Fed’s Nowcast is still firming:
| Inflation, month-over-month percent change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | CPI | Core CPI | PCE | Core PCE | Updated |
| October 2022 | 0.72 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.42 | 10/06 |
| September 2022 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 10/06 |
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| Inflation, year-over-year percent change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | CPI | Core CPI | PCE | Core PCE | Updated |
| October 2022 | 8.04 | 6.58 | 6.21 | 5.12 | 10/06 |
| September 2022 | 8.20 | 6.64 | 6.24 | 5.11 | 10/06 |
I can’t see any Fed pivot in these numbers. The BLS will need to be a shocker to turn AUD up.
About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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