RBA rate hikes hammer consumer confidence

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The weekly ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence index has been released, with confidence sliding 0.5% following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) fourth consecutive 0.5% rate hike:

Weekly consumer confidence

The key movements in the sub-indices are summarised below:

  • Consumer confidence decreased by 0.5% last week, a relatively small decline given the RBA increased the cash rate by 50bps. Across the major states confidence increased in Victoria and SA, while it dropped in NSW, Queensland and WA.
  • ‘Weekly inflation expectations’ dropped 0.1ppt to 5.3%, and its four-week moving average was also down 0.1ppt to 5.4%.
  • The confidence subindices results were mixed. ‘Current financial conditions’ rose 1.6%, its third straight weekly increase. ‘Future financial conditions’ was practically unchanged with a 0.1% rise to just above the neutral level.
  • ‘Current’ and ‘future economic conditions’ decreased by 2.5% and 2.0% respectively, after four straight weeks of gains.
  • ‘Time to buy a major household item’ rose 0.5% after a 2.4% increase the week before.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.