China’s impossible trinity breaks

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Sinocism leads us off:

Real Estate relaxations – If all cities but Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen are allowed to relaxing housing purchase restrictions, as the excellent REDD reports, then that is quite the policy backtrack and a sign of how desperate the situation is becoming for developers and local governments that need land sales revenue. In previous cycles these moves would have been enough to generate a rebound.

Not this time. Why buy when “houses are for living in, not speculation?” If Chinese demand is reduced to fundamental household formation then its property market is finished.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.