It is never a good idea to go to Hawaii and then “lie” about it (or at least have your social media lackeys post that you’re back in the homeland when you’re actually on a Hawaiian beach!).
That’s what New Zealand’s Opposition leader Chris Luxon did, and it has seen his National Party surrender a gaping election winning lead to Jacinda Ardern’s Labour, according to Roy Morgan.
As shown in the next chart, National’s primary vote tanked 4% in July, whereas Labour’s rebounded 0.5%:
New Zealand election now on a knife edge.
Moreover, the lead for a potential National/Act NZ (46%) coalition over the governing Labour/Greens government (44.5%) is now at just 1.5% points.
The results this month, therefore, have next year’s election on a knife edge.
Michele Levine, CEO of Roy Morgan, explained the results as follows:
“The decision by Opposition leader Christopher Luxon to take a family holiday to Hawaii during mid-July is understandable during the depth of a New Zealand winter. However, for Luxon’s social media to post videos of Luxon claiming to be ‘In Te Puke, the heart of kiwifruit country’ while he was holidaying in Hawaii has been labelled as a ‘debacle’ by media commentators”.
“The mishandling of Christopher Luxon’s family holiday and the related social media posts brings to the fore the key issues of trust and distrust in driving support for political leaders”.
“Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has built her leadership on being the person New Zealanders can trust to deal with challenges as varied as the COVID-19 pandemic, the Christchurch shooting and various natural disasters to strike the country such as the eruption of the White Island volcano”.
“If Christopher Luxon’s missteps in recent weeks result in people distrusting the National Leader and questioning his honesty, or the honesty of the team around him, he will come under renewed scrutiny as an alternative Prime Minister heading towards next year’s election”.
One wonders if Chris Luxon has taken political advice from former Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison, whose silly decision to take a Hawaiian holiday during the 2019-20 bushfires damaged his trust among voters.
Through stupidity, Luxton has just dealt Jacinda Ardern back into the 2023 election race.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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Explains where Barilaro went.
Rumblings a week or so ago, “I never thought I’d say it, but I miss Simon Bridges!” (one of the ex-Leaders of the Opposition, that Luxon has now replaced). And today we get the first of many articles? :
“Luxon is not up to the job”
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/shane-te-pou-its-increasingly-evident-nationals-christopher-luxon-is-not-up-to-the-job/7BNETXXZD2YJSA3ENZXR6GMSOY/
It’s not the same without Robbie in’it?
House price freeze now!
PS no pollie should ever go to Hawaii again. Have they not learned?
What’s with Hawaii and conservatives?
Start with scomo in the middle of bushfire and now this bloke…who will be next going , totes??
too many immigrant workers and POC in Hawaii for old mate.
What lessons are Australian Liberal Party and New Zealand National Party politicians learning from the United States ? …
Is Florida Governor Ron DeSantis the likely Republican Presidential Candidate in 2024 ? …
… ‘ The War On The West ‘ author Doughlas Murray explains on Sky News Australia …
Reason why Donald Trump ‘won’t run’ in 2024 … Douglas Murray on Sky News Australia … Youtube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9XPMxq_Q8LY
Former US President Donald Trump will not run for the 2024 presidential election if he does not believe he can win the Republican nomination, author Douglas Murray says.
“He’ll run if he thinks he can get the nomination and then win and if he doesn’t think that then he won’t run,” Mr Murray said.
Mr Murray said Mr Trump has a “main challenger” in Florida Governor Ron DeSantis for the GOP primary.
Mr DeSantis is “now on an even pegging with Donald Trump among Republican voters and in some polls he’s actually shown superseding Donald Trump,” he said.
Ron DeSantis – Official Website
https://rondesantis.com/
Ron DeSantis – Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ron_DeSantis
National should be well ahead of the current NZ Labour government with the ‘bread and butter’ issues (general inflation … housing inflation) being … by a country mile … the major concerns of the public according to Ipsos …
17th Ipsos NZ Issues Monitor – June 2022
https://www.ipsos.com/en-nz/17th-ipsos-nz-issues-monitor-june-2022
… and Canada’s Federal Conservative leadership aspirant Pierre Poilievre …
Pierre Poilievre wins fundraising race among Conservative leadership candidates … Ian Bailey … The Globe and Mail
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-pierre-poilievre-conservative-leadership-race-3/
Pierre Poilievre’s Vision for Canada … The News Forum … Youtube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuitbUb8s58
Pierre Poilievre on Twitter: “Big city gatekeepers …. VIDEO … Twitter
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Pierre Poilievre … Wikipedia
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Donald clearly wants to run, question is will he listen to his advisors and not run.
To be pardoned of his various sins he needs to be first charged (you need an actual charge to be pardoned of)
and then he needs a beholding GOP president to pardon him, cant pardon himself (or at least it’s not clear he can legally pardon himself).
He could of course run, get elected , pardon his kids and hope that by the time they could get around to jailing him he is too old and has shuffled off.
All in all an interesting game of chess with global implications if the USA does a civil war reenactment.
Decisions like these leave you wondering about not just that person’s judgement, but also those advising them. HTF do you expect to go on an overseas holiday and expect to get away with telling the public that you’re really at home? Didn’t SOMEONE pipe up with “this is really, really dumb and 100% guaranteed to blow up in your face!”
Either way it points to a level of moral stupidity or a massive level of arrogance.
Both.
all of the Torries are cut from the same cloth. They think they are born rulers.
Stuart Ayres was banging on about integrity before he resigned. Mate, if you acted with integrity, you’d still be the deputy, but you clearly didn’t, so you’re not.
I don’t believe that they cannot see this.
You shouldn’t. They can. And they don’t care about the hypocrisy.
Correct.
Because hypocrisy is not something to be ashamed of, but proud. It’s the execution of rank and privilege.
And it’s got images of surfboards and ukeleles on it.
1
Aristocracy is at the core of conservatism. Right up there with domination and exploitation.
Thats what an Eton education is about in England. Act like you will rule. (ie half the Tory cabinet from Eton)
And the elite private schools in Australia modelled on it.
It’s NZ, you can’t say you’re away on social media or you’ll get your house done over.
That said its poor optics.
I assume they go there to hang out with Obama …
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… behind paywall …
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/kainga-oras-huge-upfront-payment-clinched-its-purchase-of-ferncliffe-farms/LDD2ERPEZRAA5XIOB7CUILWRCY/
The Government’s winning $70.4 million offer for rural land known as Ferncliffe Farms trumped private sector bids because it constituted a “huge upfront payment” with no conditions to mitigate risk, sources close to the process have told the Herald.
The 95-hectare rural property on the fringe of Tauranga City requires rezoning by the local council before it can be developed for housing.
The highest private sector bids for the property entailed payments structured over a number of years, with final payouts triggered by milestones including council agreement to rezoning and reaching financial terms for infrastructure connections, including waste, drinking and stormwater.
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