China continues to understimulate

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Goldman with the note.


Bottom line: In its Q2 monetary policy report, the PBOC reiterated its accommodative stance by stating monetary policy would “step up support to the real economy” and focus on implementing the already-announced policy measures such as the RMB800bn and RMB300bn additional policy bank credit. The PBOC said policymakers would “strive to achieve the best outcome in terms of economic growth”. In a special column of the report, PBOC warned the risk of higher inflation, under the backdrop of recovery of domestic service activity, rapid increase of pork prices, and higher global energy prices. We continue to expect PBOC to maintain the low-profile accommodative monetary policy stance.

Main points:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.