CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index, which measures value changes across the five main Australian capital cities, declined another 0.07% in the week ended 7 July:
Once again, Sydney led the price decline with values falling 0.24% over the week. Melbourne’s dwelling values also fell (-0.11%), whereas the other major capitals recorded price rises:
Over the past quarter, dwelling values across the five major capitals have fallen 1.1%, with Sydney (-3.0%) and Melbourne (-1.9%) driving the losses. By contrast, solid to strong growth has been recorded across the other main capitals:
The next chart shows that Sydney’s dwelling values have been in freefall since the Reserve Bank commenced its rate tightening cycle in early May 2022:
Since peaking in mid-February 2022, Sydney’s dwelling values have fallen 3.4%, whereas Melbourne’s dwelling values have fallen 2.1%.
The way it is heading, Sydney will record double-digit price falls in 2022, with Melbourne also staring at solid declines.
More losses will come next year if the Reserve Bank continues to hike rates aggressively. It is also a matter of time before price falls spread to the smaller markets.