Tens of thousands of Victorians flee to Queensland

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) yesterday released population data for the December quarter, which showed that Australia’s population growth rose by 63,400 over the quarter:

Australian population change

This occurred on the back of a swing in net overseas migration (NOM) back into positive, with NOM rising by 29,200 over the quarter:

Net overseas migration

Annual population growth nationally rose to 127,900 in the 2021 calendar year with NOM of -3,600:

Australia's population time series

Over the pandemic (i.e. between Q2 2020 and Q4 2021), Victoria lost 51,390 people from negative NOM, whereas the nation lost 83,800 migrants:

Net overseas migration over pandemic

Victoria’s population also shrunk by 49,188, with Queensland’s population soaring by 102,545 due to an inflow of southerners (mostly Melburnians):

Population growth over pandemic

The inward migration to South East Queensland helps to explain the region’s price outperformance over the pandemic. However, with interest rates now rising, Queensland’s property market is also beginning to wane.

Unconventional Economist


  1. Quantitative FleecingMEMBER

    How long until Andrews decides to build a wall along the Murray and more lockdowns? Not to keep a virus out, but Victorians in!

    This might also explain the Greens success in those Queensland electorates.

  2. reusachtigeMEMBER

    I totally get why Victorians would leave but to Queensland? Brisbane is the next most boring city after Melbourne.

    • DingwallMEMBER

      Have you seen the Sunshine Coast? …… it is now more boring than Brisbane and as ugly now because it is filled with leathery, bling covered, no taste Victorians with 2-3 little white dogs each.
      It’s like the set of Real Housewives of Melbourne “30 years on” ………… 70% of their bodies are not their own and what is left looks like a poorly made saddlebag for a donkey.

      • Mining BoganMEMBER

        Qlders stopped going to the gold coast in the 90s and turned to the sunshine coast. They then stopped going to the sunshine coast in the 00s for northern nsw. Now that’s gone the same way.

        All that destruction has one thing in common. Southerners. They turn everything into soulless beehives.

        • Magnus MaximusMEMBER

          Doesn’t your example prove that Queenslanders turn places to crap. I’m in Northern NSW so remember the Queenslander hordes coming in and wrecking the place.

    • Hill Billy 55MEMBER

      I will always remember a weekend in Maleny where we stayed at a B&B. The owner was a late 70’ish woman who had moved up from Melbourne with her friend a few years before, who had bought a similar property. The friend didn’t like it and moved back, but the one left behind couldn’t afford to move back and sadly, had a miserable last few years of life.

    • MathiasMEMBER

      Yeah. Queensland is a lifestyle. When your used to Capuccino machines, urbanised metrosexual lifestyle, wine & dine, brunch and shooting up drugs in the park ( Melbournes parks are bloody disgusting ), you discover Queenslanders are a different breed.

      I think these urbanites are a bit clueless personally. They take a pay cut when they come to Queensland. 6 months later they realise the lifestyle isnt what they thought it was and look to go back to where life is easier.

      All I can say is you dont see too many Queenslanders looking to move to NSW / VIC ;p I think that says it all.

    • MathiasMEMBER

      Oh, dont worry… I’d imagine Harry Triguboff will be building highrise apartments and Casino’s soon.

      Sydneyites will be bulldozing down all the wildlife, buying out all the property to rent it back to everybody ( which is all they bloody do ). All the native fauna and flora will be destroyed by idiots to be replaced by a Capuccino machines. Melbourners will relish in the idea that us Queenslanders are too stupid to think for ourselves so they’ll need to culture us and educate us in the ways of Melbourne ( the place they are currently running away from ). Politicians will turn Queensland into the next electoral battleground.

      In short, NSW/VIC will destroy everything good about Queensland and we will all have to move to NT just to get away from all the morons.

      Once its been sliced, diced, bulldozed, cut up, rented and transformed into organised crime cells, any ounce of Australianism that this country has ever had left is going to be destroyed. The Immigrants who despise Australians living in there own Country will do everything in there power to destroy any Australian they see. The Feminists will crap on about multiculturalism and diversity, until one day, people will discover everything good this country had will be nothing but a barren wasteland.

      Australia has clearly been hijacked by foreign interests and unless we regain sovereignty over our own Country again, this cancer and destruction is only going to spread.

      I knew this stupid couple who had kids. They got some Asian kids many years ago. Many years has passed. Those Asian kids got bullied in school, grew up to discover they had no heritage. They went for a trip to there country of birth only to realise they didnt belong and Australians dont accept them either. So despite the fact it was blatantly obvious why this was not going to work, they now spend there days hating Australians because its all our fault there parents did this to them. They have no heritage. They have no family. They have nothing. Australians have already been abandoned in the country of there own birth. Its bloody disgusting.

      Personally, Im sick of being attacked. You can call it what you will, but being attacked is exactly what is happening here.

      The problem with this world… is while all you want is just a peaceful, boring and uninteresting life, there is always ‘hate’ just around the corner. Its hard to live in peace when everyone you know consistently attacks you, bullys you and is trying to destroy you. Its a kind of soft power thats being used to eliminate anything that was ever good about Australians.

      NSW and VIC are basically refugees from destroyed states. Queenslands just picked up the tab and cleaning up all your mess. What worries me though, is Canberra. Australia has no future plan. Government doesnt even talk with the people. It just ignores them while hiding out in its secret rooms. We’ve got all this spooky military sh-t going on in the background. We’ve got corruption and organised crime going on in Australia the likes you’ve never seen. I have a very bad feeling about all of this. The Government appears to have abandoned Australians and everywhere I look, everything just seems like war nowadays. Im hoping its just the by-product of stupid morons in a coming economic collapse. A part of me is questioning, whether Australians will be needing to get violent in this future if they simply want to live and survive in Australia. I dont like violence. A lots changing in this country so I might be over-reacting… but you’d think an Australian has the right to live in the Country of his own birth.

      There’s too much fog in Australia for me to see clearly but there does seem to be a lot of ‘hatred’ starting to grow. Time will tell. I just hope I dont have to end up being violent in the years ahead. Some really bad attitudes in this country. Attitudes of hate. Idiots that should know better.

      I was born in this country. My parents where also born in this country. Im sure as hell not asking permission to live in the Country of my own birth. If people have a problem with that, then I’ll tell them which orifice they can shove it because as far as Im concerned, thats my birth right and Im not asking.

      I think we will be at war soon. Im just getting that feeling.

  3. Tell us something we don’t know, all these bloody blue and white number plates everywhere.
    Looks like the WFH fad may have died somewhat though, the peak hr traffic increase between bris and sunny coast has to be +25% on pre-pandemic since restrictions eased.
    Just need a nice hot steamy long summer to drive some buyer regret on that 35% premium they paid for their new abode (on a 280m2 block), and how they can get back into the melb market

  4. Fishing72MEMBER


    Funnily enough it seems that half of this NSW town is now made up of Queenslanders.

    • But I see your true colors
      Shining through
      I see your true colors
      And that’s why I love you WA
      So don’t be afraid to let them show
      Your true colors
      True colors are beautiful
      Like a rainbow

  5. TheLambKingMEMBER

    Pretty sure this happens every year. Normally oversees migration to Victoria results in net growth.

    • Mining BoganMEMBER

      Indeed. My golfing buddies in fnq had few qlders amongst them. A constant turnover as the north became too hot for them. Geez, it got to hot for me and I’m born and bred.

      Imagine it up there if nobody can afford to run air-con…

      • and Cairns has finally seen a nice little run up in house prices from the pandemic influx.
        a recession (which always hammers fnq) followed by another stinking hot summer should see a retreat with the requisite house price falls

        • Mining BoganMEMBER

          I reckon there was no movement at all for five odd years after I sold then a recent push of 30-40% because WuFlu.

          That tide will go out faster than a tsunami drag…

          • yep, just had a look at what i sold at redlynch in 2012 (4/2/2 project home). like for like was maybe +10-15% up by early 2020, so maybe 1 to 1.5% a yr. Now up 50% since 2012.
            Will be many sad faces when that 40% covid premium fades, and they cant afford to leave.

  6. Camden HavenMEMBER

    To get my France long term visa I had to have a medical with a government appointed doctor.

    On completion the doctor said ” have a wonderful life in France ”


  7. So that’s why the rents haven’t gone up in Melbourne. I guess that’s the silver lining for enduring Dan’s lockdowns…

  8. Mining BoganMEMBER

    In other news, I just received an email from the mob who sold my fnq place in 2015. First I’ve heard from them since the start of WuFlu.

    Things must be tough.

    Edit: Had a look. Even with the last blow off, prices seem to only be up about 35% in seven years. Shouldn’t they have doubled?

  9. Heard from a GC agent completely out of the blue yesterday. No contact for 4 years and suddenly ‘although the market is still strong, buyers are starting to resist asking prices, which will eventually affect sales results…..now is a good time to consider selling’.

    Sounds like time to condition the vendors again.

    May also explain my rudimentary search on GC listing numbers being 25% above the bottom from 6 months back. Steadily climbing by 50-100 per week too.

  10. MathiasMEMBER

    The emotion of War is one of a humorous Joke.

    Its when an Australian dies and we all just start laughing and thinking its a hilarious joke.

    When that happens, you know we are at war.

    I dunno. There’s a lot of really bad stuff going on right now.

    Australia is practically Leaderless.
    Australia is Disenfranchised.
    Australia is Corrupt.
    Australia is Organised Crime.

    A fish rots from its head.

    Whats Canberra’s role in all of this?

  11. Jumping jack flash

    I dont mind living in Queensland. We’ve been here about 5 years on Brisbane’s north side. Apart from the terrible rail system and all the Queensland drivers its not too bad.